What will make this debate interesting is seeing how the Moscow hostage situation turns out. If the Russians (heaven forbid) have several hundred civilians killed, will their stance on Iraq alter? (Of course, they might just decide to level Chechnya once and for all.)
Regards, Crazy Eddie
(And yes, I know that the attackers in Moscow are Chechens, not Iraqis. However, someone in the Kremlin has got to be thinking about the likelihood that the Chechen rebels are being supported by some of the Arab nations. Furthermore, it is possible that Russia could try to trade a vote supporting action against Iraq in return for US approval of whatever is about to hit Chechnya.)
Eddie, the Iraqi's do not support Chechens. That support has generally been Iranian which suits the Iraqi's just fine. There will be no direct consequences to Iraq for the Chechen issues, other than an increased Russian resolve to move into Chechnya (an attack of national pride). What will happen is that there might be an invasion into Georgia to ferret out the Chechen rebels hidden there putting Shevrednaci in peril as the lead of the that government. It is questionable whether the US will become involved given even with his close relationship with Baker and the elder statesman Bush.
Iraq owes Russia 7 billion dollars. Russia wants that first and will use its single vote veto power to stop any UN moves against its client Iraq.