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Messages - TheDrake

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This survey breaks some things down

Democrats and republicans were asked about which speakers should be allowed to speak, and with the exception of advocates for violent protests, there is a stark split. Very few support shouting to shut down a speaker (4%) so you could imagine that many of the rest might say there's a problem thinking about those coercive methods.

Only 60% of even democrats think an executive should get fired for saying that African Americans are genetically inferior. That shocks me, and I guess puts me pretty solidly in the "PC is not so bad" camp.

1% of people actually think that a baker should be jailed for refusing to bake a cake for a gay wedding. Jailed. So ok, I'm not all the way gone, those people are crazy.

There's a lot of focus on having political views that people are afraid to share. With whom? How? In class? At work? With friends? Probably some of each. I know there have been reports of people getting scourged by the very mobs they used to be a part of.

I definitely recognize that there are instances that are downright laughable. The word niggardly has become a homonymic casualty. 

On January 15, 1999, David Howard, an aide to Anthony A. Williams, the mayor of Washington, D.C., used "niggardly" in reference to a budget.[5] This apparently upset one of his black colleagues (Howard is white), identified by Howard as Marshall Brown, who misinterpreted it as a racial slur and lodged a complaint. As a result, on January 25, Howard tendered his resignation, and Williams accepted it.

And of course the inffamous tar baby

Although the term's provenance rests in African folklore (i.e., the gum doll Anansi created to trap Mmoatia), some Americans consider tar baby to be a pejorative term for African Americans.[16] The Oxford English Dictionary defines tar baby as "a difficult problem which is only aggravated by attempts to solve it",[17] but the online subscription-only version adds a second definition: "a derogatory term for a Black (U.S.) or a Maori (N.Z.)".[18][19]

Several United States politicians—including presidential candidates John Kerry, John McCain, Michele Bachmann, and Mitt Romney—have been criticized by civil rights leaders, the media, and fellow politicians for using the "tar baby" metaphor.[19][20] An article in The New Republic argued that people are "unaware that some consider it to have a second meaning as a slur" and it "is an obscure slur, not even known to be so by a substantial proportion of the population". It continued that, "those who feel that tar baby's status as a slur is patently obvious are judging from the fact that it sounds like a racial slur".

But if people stopped with the outright stuff, I think that these confusions wouldn't get so much attention. Saying that the PC police have gone to far misses the point that they haven't gone anywhere - which is the effectiveness question. They can certainly cause damage, but can they actually change behaviour? Signs point to yes, if there are lots of people running around being more careful about how they phrase things and being careful about it (and expressing displeasure at having been reigned in).

General Comments / Re: endian ideas
« on: October 19, 2018, 04:21:31 PM »
The classic coder debate, tabs v spaces
Yeah, I'm a spaces guy.

Thanks for the more complete transcript, I don't think I'd get a membership and wind up on the mailing list.

Most of that is qualitative complaining without giving any examples whatsoever about WHAT he is actually objecting to or defining political correctness.

Is he arguing that people should be able to call him a gay slur without being shamed for it? That the Proud Boys should be welcomed onto campus with open arms?

From a quick look at an article, Fry complains about:

Statue removal. This is a big one for a lot of people, and they often equate it with "erasing history", when nobody on the PC side is advocating removing anyone from the history books, they just want to remove these people from a place of honor and admiration.

Trigger words. The idea that literature must be avoided because it contains ideas of racism and other items.

I think the anti-PC crowd is primarily defending their right to be mean-spirited, belittling, and cruel. The want to be able to mock the disabled with impunity. They want to be able to call someone weak by a disparaging term.

That's why they are inventing new slurs to take the place of the ones that would get them deplatformed.
c-sucker becomes cuck. (Not directly by etymology, but appearing in the same context)

There are obviously levels of what it means to be PC or anti, like in the case of Fry. When Trump rails about being PC, he's not talking about that. He's talking about how it should be fine to disparage and discriminate against all Muslims. His quote on PC says "who has time for that?"

My thought is this, if one is exhausted trying to figure out which words one can use to belittle someone with, maybe it is easier to stop belittling people at all. This is what got Roseanne in trouble. I never thought that she was thinking racist thoughts when she put her tweet together, but she was trying to belittle someone based on their appearance.

Now, some will rightly point out that people on the left will do the same thing and get away with it. Yup, to a point that is true. And they should be held to account for that.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 18, 2018, 03:46:34 PM »
So we're looking back on transactions that occurred around 25 years ago and saying he has financial interests based on that???

Now other sources are describing an ongoing revenue stream. That is a financial interest. If you have a bunch of people who are regular customers for your goods and services, ones that might be predisposed to stop being your customers based on your policy decisions, that is a financial interest and a conflict of interest. But I tend to think that Trump probably doesn't even understand what a "financial interest" is, and thinks it implies he owns businesses in Saudi Arabia.

General Comments / Re: endian ideas
« on: October 18, 2018, 02:55:01 PM »
Haha Never saw that all in the family episode. I'm definitely sock-sock shoe-shoe.

General Comments / Re: Sticks and Stones
« on: October 18, 2018, 08:15:25 AM »
here's why Twitter banned some accounts

I don't see any reference to Twitter announcing that anyone using the term or a graphic would be banned.

But I guess for the folks that have been red pilled it's all the same.

General Comments / Re: Heitkamp goes full Feinstein
« on: October 17, 2018, 06:11:03 PM »
I generally agree. The only way it could be worse is if she personally tweeted the names and called them horse faces.

According to more than a dozen interviews with women impacted by this controversy, the growing consensus is that someone pulled names from a Facebook post and added them to the open letter to Cramer without getting consent.
Delzer posted a call to action on her Facebook page, asking for women to be part of a "letter being circulated among survivors of domestic violence, sexual assault and rape responding to Cramer's comments."
"We are looking for women are willing to sign there (sic) name (or initials) and list their hometown in North Dakota to include as part of the letter/ad," reads the post, that ended by telling readers another woman would validate all signatures that ended up on the open letter.
Below the post, Delzer tagged 12 other women in one comment and another 12 in a subsequent comment. All 24 women appeared on the open letter to Cramer, most in the same exact order they appeared in Delzer's comments.
"I am kind of confused about how this all happened after I tagged my friends in a post," Delzer told CNN. "All I did was share the post on Facebook and I tagged some of my Facebook friends on Facebook and someone, no one will tell me who, took the names that I tagged and put them in the letter."

Let the moral of the story be: Don't tag your friends with your political garbage post. If they want to see it, they'll see it in the feed. That's how facebook works. If you want to ensure a bunch of your friends see something - use messenger.

General Comments / Re: endian ideas
« on: October 17, 2018, 04:50:41 PM »
In the middle?  Does anyone break an egg on the end?

The egg is hard-boiled, in Swift's days actually served in an egg cup.

Using a bathrobe versus drying off with a towel.

that's one I didn't think of.

General Comments / Re: endian ideas
« on: October 17, 2018, 04:45:28 PM »
Back in to parking or back out? This one surprised me. I am a strong supporter of back out. I get aggravated waiting for someone to back in, but not at all for someone to back out.

In some parts of the the oil and gas industry we are required to back in, so that emergency situations evacuations can occur faster and with less risk of accident.

Yes, and if you're planning on robbing the store.

Trump: ‘The Only Way To Find Out What Happened At The Saudi Consulate Is To Send In More Journalists One At A Time’

The Onion gets comedy, no matter what you think about Trump.

General Comments / Re: endian ideas
« on: October 17, 2018, 01:05:33 PM »
Watch somebody backing in a full on SUV and then pulling back out to start over again because they missed the window between the two adjacent cars...

Plus, there's no way to know somebody is going to back in when you are following them, so then you have to back up and make room.

Backing in is wrong!

General Comments / endian ideas
« on: October 17, 2018, 12:07:56 PM »
Should you break an egg from the smaller end, or the larger? Swift wrote that such a division could lead to endless conflict.

I was thinking this morning about whether I has any endian beliefs, and how strongly do I feel about them.

Toilet roll, overhand or underhand? This one I don't pay a lot of attention to, but I've met people with strong feelings.

Back in to parking or back out? This one surprised me. I am a strong supporter of back out. I get aggravated waiting for someone to back in, but not at all for someone to back out.

Can anybody else think of an endian idea where you've seen someone argue about a choice that has no real right answer, it is largely arbitrary?

General Comments / Re: Elizabeth Warren and being native American
« on: October 17, 2018, 11:19:08 AM »
Let's be clear, and I really hate defending Trump, but his challenge in total is:

"I will give you a million dollars to your favorite charity, paid for by Trump, if you take the test and it shows you’re an Indian."

It is actually a sucker bet since, according to most tribes, no DNA test can show she "is an Indian". But even if you accept that some kind of DNA test could prove that, no clear standard exists.

It's like someone asking "jump and prove it shows you are a basketball player". Then you hop a few inches into the air. Jumping in any event doesn't prove you can play basketball, it just proves you might have one element. You don't play on any recognized team. I guess if you attempted to jump and you fell over on the ground it might prove you are NOT a basketball player. Then there's the question of whether you jump anywhere near as high as any identified basketball player who does play for a team.

General Comments / Re: Elizabeth Warren and being native American
« on: October 17, 2018, 09:42:51 AM »
Which box do you check? To me that's an interesting question for anyone of mixed ancestry. It ties to certain advantages in hiring decisions and data collection under EEOC. The Nazis had some elaborate charts to determine Jew, half-Jew, and not Jew.

At what point does ticking off "African American" become unsavory? One of four grandparents? One of eight great-grandparents? Should you check off "hispanic" if no one in your living family speaks spanish?

Or, you could feel fully "white" culturally, despite having three grandparents who were African American. Are you allowed to check "white"?

Because of these complications, I'm kind of in favor of ditching the question. I myself have increasing been checking "prefer not to answer".

None of this bears directly on Warren, for whom it is pretty dicey to have checked anything other than "white" or "prefer not to answer" IMO. That is regardless of whether it gave her any benefits, which I find improbable in her specific case. Harvard was all for it, since they got to claim a minority hire. They actively promoted it.

“…for at least six straight years during Warren’s tenure, Harvard University reported in federally mandated diversity statistics that it had a Native American woman in its senior ranks at the law school. According to both Harvard officials and federal guidelines, those statistics are almost always based on the way employees describe themselves.”

In addition, both Harvard’s guidelines and federal regulations for the statistics lay out a specific definition of Native American that Warren does not meet.

That article was written back in 2012, long before any Trump came along to the political scene. All of which I never would have researched or learned if she hadn't taken the DNA bait. I just dismissed Trump's earlier criticisms as the typical lunatic ravings that I'm used to.

General Comments / Re: Heitkamp goes full Feinstein
« on: October 17, 2018, 08:50:32 AM »
I think her campaign manager, Libby Schneider, is going to have a very hard time finding work after a blunder this epic.

Interesting when I search on the name I got this:

misleading ads

Politifact rated the claims as "half-true," noting that Cramer has voted to "prevent health care companies from denying coverage to people with pre-existing conditions," but "the limits of what insurance companies could charge would have been watered down, which would have sent premiums skyrocketing, experts say, to the point that coverage for many would be unattainable."

Politifact giving a half-true to a Democrat in a crucial race translates to a "mostly false" or worse. AP also had problems with it.

General Comments / Re: Elizabeth Warren and being native American
« on: October 16, 2018, 03:24:07 PM »
For the love of God, Ted Cruz, don't weigh in on this!

General Comments / Re: Elizabeth Warren and being native American
« on: October 16, 2018, 02:05:31 PM »
There's the sophmoric, then there's the dumb, and now the inexplicable.

Lindsey Graham jokes about taking a DNA test: “I’ll probably be Iranian. That’d be, like, terrible.” (via Fox)

Note: It's probably best if you don't have a least favorite ethnicity and announce it. Even the Fox guy felt compelled to help Lindsey out.

“Fox & Friends” host Brian Kilmeade followed up Graham’s assertion by saying  Iranians are “great people, just bad leaders.”

General Comments / Re: Elizabeth Warren and being native American
« on: October 16, 2018, 01:13:53 PM »
Isn't Warren's claim just a "truthful hyperbole" at worst? Or a truth that is misleading?

She does have several family members that back her story, along with the ones that don't or historically have not. She does have DNA results that lots of people don't have.

It's just her channeling her inner Trump. 1% can become 100%.

Honestly, she's even got CNN op-eds running against her where Native Americans are essentially asking, "where were you on the issues important to the tribes if you are claiming kinship?"

Taking Trump's bait never works out, ask Marco Rubio.

General Comments / Re: Elizabeth Warren and being native American
« on: October 16, 2018, 11:21:06 AM »
His little nicknames are jokes I got over in grammar school. I'm surprised he hasn't called anyone Four Eyes.

General Comments / Re: Elizabeth Warren and being native American
« on: October 16, 2018, 08:46:17 AM »
I wish we could start calling out all the politicians who claim Irish heritage next.

General Comments / Re: Smart Home Hacking
« on: October 15, 2018, 02:47:24 PM »
Is a smarthome hazardous? Just connected up my hashtag#nest thermostat, really excited! This morning my internet was down. alexa was incapable of turning off my alarm, and my nightstand smartbulb also ignored my pleas for it to turn on. I groped around, pulled the plug on alexa and hunted for the remote for my overhead light. Is my home getting too smart for its own good?

I feel like I need some lights connected to the internet that come on automatically, because it is starting to feel like I'm having a state of emergency when the internet is down.

General Comments / Re: gun free zones, cause and effect
« on: October 15, 2018, 01:14:21 PM »
Water rights could fill a whole thread. :P

Of course, you're assuming that a "Bill Gates" type hasn't settled claims such as this quietly.

Actually, I stipulated that they do, or at least may. :)

Back to the central point, I wonder how many falsely accused are rich vs poor? I don't think you can get a reliable statistic on that, because the rich probably pay the hush money and many never get public.

For all I know, Gates is a hidden Weinstein and is just so rich he can buy everyone off successfully. Or resorted to threats so nasty as to make the person think better of the plan.

There is the "public image" part of this, and I agree. If people see you use your wealth to rid the world of Malaria, they are going to give you more benefit of the doubt than if you fill a personal zoo with exotic animals.

It is also true that the "Anita Hill" effect is not in play with Michael Jackson. Women who are sexually harassed who elect not only to accuse, but keep the job because of the damage to their career if they step forward. I agree with that point, Seriati, virtually no one is going to keep quiet for what MJ can do for their career.

I had to refresh myself on Jackson, but Chandler (the original accuser) was recorded and his primary motivation from that seems to have been getting all the cash. I'm forced to use that to highlight my earlier point - if Jackson wasn't doing something inappropriate (sleeping in a bed with a random child), he doesn't get accused or it is much weaker.

This did become a feeding frenzy, where staff started selling stories about his conduct. Surely at least some of those stories were fabricated or embellished.

Certainly any rich person can become a target for extortion, but there's a reason it was Michael Jackson and not Bill Gates.

Back to the central point, I wonder how many falsely accused are rich vs poor? I don't think you can get a reliable statistic on that, because the rich probably pay the hush money and many never get public.

Fair enough Pete. To me, most of the discussion has been about women making false allegations, not co-conspirators naming random people. It doesn't seem representative of the wider question of false allegations, which has largely revolved around the consequences of uncorroborated accusations.

Likewise, Seriati's story is about a group of girls conspiring to corroborate each other, which I don't think bears on this central question of "Can a woman just make a random accusation against a man and ruin his life?" as well as "How often do women do this?"

The OP centered on the "how often" question, Seriati's follow up discusses why this might go up as women are more likely to make such claims.

I don't know anything about the third world status of suing someone and getting their money with a false rape charge, or in your hypothesis having the cops shake someone down.

I'm not denying that this happens, of course it does. Although its usually more expedient to get the guy to impregnate the grifter than to go through rape proof. Also included is standard scandal related blackmail. Those seem much easier paths to soak out some cash than going full rape, at least in the developed world.

Other causes of false allegations historically include protection of the woman's reputation by claiming her consensual sex was not. Revenge can factor in. Or simple misunderstanding of what is happening.

Why women make false rape accusations (And why they think their accusations are true)

Regardless, the story you picked doesn't show a woman falsely accusing a man of rape, its an interesting story but I don't see it as "telling" as far as explaining any phenomenon of false rape accusations.

General Comments / Re: gun free zones, cause and effect
« on: October 14, 2018, 09:30:40 AM »
I don't think statistics are reliable with that sample size.

When the police came, the men who did the rape said: 'This is the man who did it,' and I was taken to the police station," Pili says.

So falsely accused, but either by the other suspects or corroborated by the suspects. No clear relationship to wealth.

General Comments / Re: Invest in automation
« on: October 12, 2018, 11:37:45 AM »
You can't talk about average households when the original question was framed as "all of us". You have to talk about the lowest 10% or fewer and how their lives have improved. It doesn't really matter that the average family has two cars when most of those 10% have zero. (allowing for the fact that some portion don't need or want a car anyway).

Those lower 10% do benefit from new services, shared infrastructure, and other universal benefits, but it is hardly some great celebration.

As far as smart devices go, I guess its nice that they can have access to webMD in lieu of healthcare.

General Comments / Re: "The Fed Has Gone Crazy!"
« on: October 11, 2018, 03:28:27 PM »
Good points. Yes, wages get a lot more complicated because each sector and job skill grow at different rates. Scarcity in healthcare services can raise wages and salaries there, while leaving things the same otherwise. The closer you push to full employment, the more you start to have shortfalls in high demand areas. Like the bidding war during the bubble for engineers and they were handing out five figure signing bonuses to get people in the door and fuel growth.

There are also lots of jobs where salaries are even less impactful on product price. SG&A, R&D, etc.

But wage growth is an inflation driver, if you look at CPI vs wage growth.

General Comments / Re: "The Fed Has Gone Crazy!"
« on: October 11, 2018, 02:35:19 PM »
The fed started moving interest rates back toward normal at the end of 2015, because the recovery began independently of a change in administration.

Savings should be rewarded, and all income investments will rise with the fed, including muni & corp bonds.

Rising wages accomplish nothing but inflation when it happens across the board. Imagine that tomorrow everybody's wages double. Wow that's pretty cool! Until companies have to raise prices to maintain their margins. Not cool. A guy flipping burgers today shouldn't make any more real wages than the guy who did it in the 1950s. Same job, same effort, same skill, same pay. Anything else is an aberration.

Inflation does have a scary feedback momentum, it was a killer in the 70s.

The idea that the “Phillips curve” represented a longer-term trade-off between unemployment, which was very damaging to economic well-being, and inflation, which was sometimes thought of as more of an inconvenience, was an attractive assumption for policymakers who hoped to forcefully pursue the dictates of the Employment Act.2  But the stability of the Phillips curve was a fateful assumption, one that economists Edmund Phelps (1967) and Milton Friedman (1968) warned against. Said Phelps “f the statical ‘optimum’ is chosen, it is reasonable to suppose that the participants in product and labour markets will learn to expect inflation…and that, as a consequence of their rational, anticipatory behaviour, the Phillips Curve will gradually shift upward...” (Phelps 1967; Friedman 1968). In other words, the trade-off between lower unemployment and more inflation that policymakers may have wanted to pursue would likely be a false bargain, requiring ever higher inflation to maintain

So the crazy thing is that Trump wants to make America 1980 again.

2015 article

rate hikes are good for seniors

federal reserve essay on inflation

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 11, 2018, 11:56:20 AM »
I'd say the medicare statement has always been true but misleading. Private medicare payouts were reduced by the amount claimed. Whether that led to any reduction in services is debatable, but unlikely.

two ways that medicare costs were reduced by ACA

General Comments / Re: "The Fed Has Gone Crazy!"
« on: October 11, 2018, 11:48:47 AM »
Trump never met a dollar he didn't want to borrow, so of course he loves low interest rates. One of the reasons why a President is supposed to step away from business ownership. Is he saying this to help his business, or the country? People who are actually trying to save money, on the other hand, will welcome some rising rates. Remember when you would buy an 18 month certificate of deposit? It's back, baby. People can now get 2.5% at zero risk, compared to the last few years when it was below 1%.

In addition, the federal government in a bipartisan way loves to spend money we don't have, and US Treasuries are going to make borrowing more expense on the national debt. Over two years, 10 year Treasuries are up from 1.5 to near 3%, and short term Tbills popped from 0% to 1.5%.

General Comments / Re: Invest in automation
« on: October 11, 2018, 11:35:52 AM »
We can't even agree that everyone should be able to get an antibiotic when needed, so UBI is phenomenally far away. Good luck suckers, I'm getting entrenched in the machine learning world so our AI overlords may keep me as a pet...

Sadly, wealthy or powerful people who think they can grab people by the pussy and get away with it are not hard to find. Probably a lot easier to find than their false accusers. Monica was sexually harassed regardless of how willing she might have been. Keep your cigar in the box and you will probably be just fine.

Lower levels of power, like middle management, are probably similar. Don't say or do inappropriate things. All sexual topics are inappropriate things. All touching beyond a handshake is inappropriate. Is a company going to settle? Sadly, they probably will and they probably keep the serial douchebag around, and install remote control door locks for him.

I have never directly seen anybody accused who wasn't crossing a line - anecdotal, I know. I have seen many instances of crossing a line go unpunished.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 09, 2018, 02:56:41 PM »
The fact that he made up some random stuff about a political opponent is dull. Yes, it is a terrible set of lies about what happened in an egregious way. You win velcro.

Truth is a broad concept.

I expect politicians to make false promises. I expect them to exaggerate problems that they think deserve a solution in terms of framing. I expect them to feign interest in Iowans for a brief period every four years. Maybe the middle one applies to OpEds - which are published by a news organization.

I don't expect politicians to make claims of events that never happened, like Hillary claiming to be shot at - although the more I learn about science about memories shifting from 3rd to 1st person, the less upset I am about that particular one. For a news organization, this is unforgivable.

I expect that when an error is made, either by a politician or a news organization, there should be a visible retraction and apology.

I expect that if a politician or a news organization states an objective fact, like prices have risen 15% over 5 years, that it should be accurate.

I can't pick either/or. My standards are largely the same regardless of who is doing the telling.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 09, 2018, 11:19:03 AM »
I don't know why you think I'm angry, I don't think I used any microaggressions. I just think you are wrong, and I've attempted to clarify why. You don't have to worry about pissing me off. I invite you to call me out if I defend a misleading statement as technically true. I reserve the right to argue why I don't think something is misleading.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 08, 2018, 07:06:36 PM »
I'm sorry that you can't see my point. We'll come back to this the next time somebody you dislike says something misleading that is technically true.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 08, 2018, 06:04:50 PM »
You can try all the spin you want but the bottom line is Trump is telling the truth at this moment in time.

So what's the limitation on describing that trend - anything at all? Couple of days? Hours? The kind of standard you seem to be setting is what is known as quibbling rather than lying in various honor codes, especially military ones. It involves setting up a technicality where you could claim you are not lying in order to get away with misleading statements.

It's like a story I heard attributed to Pravda about a bicycle race and said that Russia came in second while the US came in second to last. All true on a technicality in a two country race, but most people would describe the US as winning if they are being forthright.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 08, 2018, 01:14:57 PM »
So if Pelosi were talking about how healthcare costs had gone down in the past couple of weeks, after a massive jump a few months earlier....? I'm sure you'd get right behind that characterization.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 08, 2018, 12:37:19 PM »
A dead cat bounce is not "going up". In the context of describing the impact of his policies, Trump can't reasonably mean that an end of September phenomenon is caused by his policy, which had its impact in June causing a 20% drop. If you just zoom your chart out to a six month time frame you'll have a better picture.

He in fact knew that his policies were hurting soybean prices because he supported a bailout package for them in July. In August, this solidified into 3.6 billion for the soybean producers.

Now he could mean soybean prices + the $1.65 per bushel he's going to hand them.

General Comments / Re: Corey Booker and Kavanaugh Hearing
« on: October 06, 2018, 03:28:23 PM »
There is a difference between outrage and petulence.

General Comments / Re: Corey Booker and Kavanaugh Hearing
« on: October 05, 2018, 01:19:31 PM »
I believe the normal response for people whose character is under attack in hearings is somewhere between humble apology and eyeroll smirk, not angry badger.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 05, 2018, 12:55:20 PM »
Others were just better at cloaking this. Would you rather this be true and hidden, or true and exposed?

I'd prefer a Nixon to a Trump, if that makes it clear. Nixon was a bare knuckle brawler, full on racist, vindictive to his enemies, paranoid, and nowhere near as divisive to the country because he closed the door first.

General Comments / Re: Corey Booker and Kavanaugh Hearing
« on: October 05, 2018, 12:40:29 PM »
It was nothing but a performance calculated to energize his base and get them out to vote. It was ugly and his followers should demand better. 

I call BS. Trump doesn't do this stuff out of calculation. He just reacts and rants involuntarily. Kind of like the Incredible Hulk, he gets mad and it just sort of happens.

General Comments / Re: Misleading or False Claims by Trump
« on: October 05, 2018, 12:37:54 PM »
I don't think he is "brilliantly in control of the base". I think he just does what he does, and happens to be in the right place and time to resonate with a large number of people. He doesn't calculate that its time to mock someone because it will reinforce his support. He doesn't chafe at admitting fault for anything because it could undermine his support.

He's accidentally in control of his base. He didn't craft his messaging based on what people might like or not like, he just blurted out a bunch of things he thought, and had a bunch of people agree with him.

"Winning" involves never admitting fault, always claiming victory no matter how dubious, and most importantly running down anyone who even mildly disagrees with him.

He's not a master manipulator, he's a bully and not that masterful at even that. He's no Rockefeller. He's a cheap knockoff throwback to those times when all management and leadership theory for the past 50 years indicates worse outcomes with that style. He's like a regional manager of a chain restaurant in everything form his volatility to his trashy vocabulary. Bullies and people who admire bullying as strength probably give him strong support.

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